Backtest - Sector Reversion & Beta Flipping (Quarterly)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A quarterly portfolio that mixes “buy the recent losers” sector bets, diversifiers like gold/commodities, and a trend filter that sometimes uses leveraged stock funds.
This portfolio checks in every quarter and splits money across 4 ideas.
1) Buy sectors or Treasury bonds that have recently fallen the most, hoping they bounce back.
2) Hold diversifiers like gold, commodities, and managed futures.
3) Use leverage only when the U.S. stock trend looks healthy; otherwise shift safer or overseas.
4) Add more to whichever major sleeve has recently lagged.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~19.48% vs S&P ~18.15%, with Calmar ~0.84. A disciplined, diversified rules-based blend (mean-reversion, diversifiers, selective leverage) targets higher upside in rallies while keeping risk in check—though drawdowns can be larger in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 0.75 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 467.49% | 14.2% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.87 | |
| 1,235.77% | 21.93% | 1.38% | 6.77% | 1.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$133,577.02Regulatory Fees
$29.02
Total Slippage
$230.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Sector rotation, mean reversion, tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, diversifiers, trend-following filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
EXI
iShares Global Industrials ETF
Stocks
FMF
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IXC
iShares Global Energy ETF
Stocks
IXG
iShares Global Financials ETF
Stocks