Backtest - Sector Reversion & Beta Flipping (Quarterly)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Quarterly mix of sector mean‑reversion and selective leverage. Buys recent laggards among sectors/Treasuries, holds diversifiers (gold, commodities, managed futures), and adds 3× S&P only in uptrends while flipping between defense and offense.
Rebalanced quarterly. It uses four sleeves: (1) Sector rebound (~1/3): buy the 3 most recently beaten‑down from a list of all major stock sectors (US and global) plus US Treasuries. (2) Diversifiers (~1/5): gold, broad commodities, and managed‑futures (DBMF, KMLM). (3) Leverage (~1/3): add a 3× S&P fund (UPRO) only in uptrends; plus a 'beta flip' that buys recent losers among defense (long Treasuries) and offense (tech/health). (4) Dynamic (~1/8): tilt to the list (US or global) that lagged.
Out-of-sample: ~13% annualized return, 23% max drawdown, Calmar 0.56, Sharpe ~0.69. Diversified, rules-based sleeves with quarterly rebalancing and selective leverage aim for a distinct, risk-aware profile versus the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 0.74 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 388.59% | 13.56% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 956.16% | 20.8% | -1.06% | 2.98% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$105,615.87Regulatory Fees
$30.97
Total Slippage
$197.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Sector rotation, mean reversion, trend following, leveraged etfs, managed futures, diversification, global sectors, treasuries, commodities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
EXI
iShares Global Industrials ETF
Stocks
FMF
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IXC
iShares Global Energy ETF
Stocks
IXG
iShares Global Financials ETF
Stocks