All In (Short Term Inverse Volatility Weighting of Diversified Asset Classes w/ Leverage)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A short-term, inverse-volatility weighted portfolio of leveraged ETFs (85% of assets) with a 15% ballast in floating-rate Treasuries, using a 2-day lookback to tilt toward less volatile holdings. Includes TECL, BITU, TMF, RSST, DFEN, UTSL, VXUS, UGL, and ballast USFR; international is not leveraged due to lack of a leveraged international ETF. Rebalances are not calendar-driven.
What it is trying to do: capture short-term moves across a mix of leveraged asset classes while trying to keep risk in check by betting more on assets that have been calmer recently and adding ballast to the portfolio.
How it does it:
1) Look back 2 trading days for each asset to estimate recent price volatility (how wild the moves have been).
2) Assign weights so assets with lower recent volatility get higher weights (inverse-volatility weighting).
3) The 85% of the portfolio goes into a basket of leveraged ETFs, including TECL (3x tech), BITU (2x Bitcoin), TMF (3x long Treasuries), RSST (stock+managed futures blend), DFEN (3x aerospace/defense), UTSL (3x utilities), VXUS (international stocks), and UGL (2x gold).
4) The remaining 15% goes into USFR, a floating-rate treasury fund used as ballast to dampen risk and provide some stability.
5) International exposure (VXUS) is included but not leveraged, because there isn’t a reliable leveraged international ETF option.
6) Rebalancing: not on a fixed calendar; weights are determined by the 2-day volatility signal. There is a small corridor width (0.01) that would normally trigger drift-based rebalancing, but the setup shows rebalance: none, so adjustments are not automatic on a schedule.
What you should know: leverage magnifies both gains and losses; volatility-weighting can shift a lot in choppy markets; the ballast helps but won’t eliminate risk.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~2.88 vs 1.38, beta ~0.86, drawdown ~10% vs ~13%, and ~87% annualized return vs 28%—volatility-weighted leveraged ETFs with ballast aim to outperform the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 0.88 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.56% | 16.08% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.98 | |
| 222.91% | 82.96% | -0.37% | 20.72% | 2.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$32,291.02Regulatory Fees
$125.08
Total Slippage
$749.65
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 19, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, inverse volatility weighting, tactical allocation, ballast, global exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BITU
ProShares Ultra Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
DFEN
Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
RSST
Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
USFR
WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund
Stocks
UTSL
Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
VXUS
Vanguard Total International Stock ETF
Stocks