2007 @ 2.25 Sharpe - ETFs
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-based ETF strategy. 60% tactically tilts among cash, light shorts, tech (often hedged) and defensives using a heat meter (RSI) and trend. 40% rotates emerging markets up/down and long Treasuries vs cash to steady the ride.
Split 60/40.
60%: Uses a “heat meter” (RSI, 0–100) and a long‑term trend line (200‑day avg) on SPY (S&P 500) and QQQ (Nasdaq‑100). If too hot, hold T‑bills (SHV) and light shorts (PSQ=short Nasdaq, SH=short S&P). If too cold, buy tech via QQQ/QLD, often hedged with Treasuries (TLT) and health care (XLV). Can park in staples (XLP) or gold (GLD).
40%: Flips between emerging markets up/down (EEM/EUM) using bond‑vs‑stock strength; owns TLT when bonds trend up or are washed‑out; else SHV.
Out-of-sample edge: ~29% annualized return vs ~18% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.79 vs ~1.03, max drawdown ~7.6% vs ~18.8%, beta ~0.42. Diversified, rules-based hedges across regimes for steadier, higher risk-adjusted gains.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf, trend + mean reversion, hedged equity, leveraged/inverse, treasuries, gold, emerging markets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks