Zero Leverage TQQQFTLTwOLCDD
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A tactical, no‑leverage plan that owns growth ETFs (QQQ=Nasdaq‑100, SPMO=S&P momentum) when the market trend is up, and shifts to defense (SPLV=low‑vol stocks, BSV=short‑term bonds) when short‑term “too hot/too cold” and risk alarms flash; growth tilt (big tech) risk‑on, defensive tilt risk‑off.
1) Trend check: if SPY is above its 200‑day average, it’s “bull”; else “bear.” (Average = smoothed price.)
2) Bull: if short‑term “heat” is high (RSI = hot/cold meter), after sharp drops, or during big drawdowns/vol spikes → shift to defense: SPLV (low‑vol stocks) + BSV (short‑term bonds); else hold growth: QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) or mix with SPMO (S&P momentum).
3) Bear: mostly SPLV/BSV; may buy QQQ/SPY on oversold bounces. Leveraged tickers (TQQQ/SPXL/SQQQ/UVXY) guide signals only.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 2.04 vs SPY 1.37; annualized return 47.86% vs 28.53%; max drawdown 9.08% vs 12.68%. A disciplined trend-following defense rotation aims for bigger upside with smaller downside vs the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 26, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, momentum, rsi signals, risk management, nasdaq tilt, defensive rotation, no leverage
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPMO
Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks