YYPT | QLD FTLT (Reddit Post Link) Simplified, 02.2007
Today’s Change (Feb 8, 2026)
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About
Daily tactical plan using Nasdaq‑100 funds: buy QLD when washed‑out or in uptrends, park in SHV when overheated, and in downtrends may switch to PSQ (short Nasdaq‑100). Concentrated, high risk: uses leverage and can go short.
It rotates daily among three funds:
- QLD: aims for about 2x the daily move of big tech stocks (Nasdaq‑100).
- PSQ: goes up when those stocks fall (inverse Nasdaq‑100).
- SHV: cash‑like T‑bills.
Signals on QLD: RSI(10) is a 0–100 “heat” score over ~2 weeks; under 30 = washed‑out, over 80 = overheated. Price vs averages: SPY above/below its 200‑day (market trend); QLD above/below its 20‑day (short‑term). Rules: 1) RSI<30 → QLD. 2) RSI>80 → SHV. 3) Otherwise: if SPY>200‑day → QLD; else if QLD<20‑day → PSQ; else QLD.
Out-of-sample, this Nasdaq-100 strategy delivers ~48% annualized returns vs ~18% for the S&P, with Sharpe ~1.17 and Calmar ~1.46. Drawdowns ~33%, but much higher upside in tech rallies via adaptive, trend signals.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 0.99 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 591.03% | 10.68% | -0.17% | 3.34% | 0.61 | |
| 359,709.26% | 53.72% | -5.06% | -2.44% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$35,980,925.61Regulatory Fees
$23,479.42
Total Slippage
$158,841.53
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, trend-following, regime filter, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, nasdaq-100 focus, rsi, moving averages