Yield Curve Stuff Algo
Today’s Change (Sep 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A macro, yield‑curve‑driven rotation that blends long Treasuries and gold with selective equities or hedges. Uses SPY vs utilities/low‑vol and a junk‑bond momentum gauge as risk switches, plus a tactical short‑oil sleeve. Rebalanced daily.
It reads the yield curve from SHY (short‑term Treasuries) and TLT (long‑term). Steepening → more TLT, GLD (gold), TIP; flattening → selective growth stocks (e.g., SMH, QQQ) or hedges.
It checks risk appetite by seeing if SPY lags XLU or SPLV over ~75 days; if defensives lead, it goes safer/hedged.
A junk‑bond RSI (a simple “overbought/oversold” gauge) fine‑tunes stock exposure.
It also shorts oil tactically (via SCO) after small drops, and steps aside after big drops. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.44 vs SPY 1.19; max drawdown 7.3% vs 18.8%; Calmar 2.24; 16.4% annualized return. A macro-rotation strategy that trims downside while preserving upside, delivering superior risk-adjusted SPY performance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 472.62% | 14.19% | 1.27% | 4.17% | 0.87 | |
| 4,655.94% | 34.13% | 1.15% | 0.6% | 2.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$475,593.52Regulatory Fees
$1,546.34
Total Slippage
$12,146.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Macro regime rotation, yield curve, multi-asset, tactical rotation, risk-on/off, long/short etfs, commodities, currencies
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 39 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EEV
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
EUO
ProShares UltraShort Euro
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IAI
iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
Stocks
IGV
iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
Stocks
IHI
iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF
Stocks
ITB
iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF
Stocks