Yes Pops | BrianE | 2x edition with 3X ETFS
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, risk-on/risk-off strategy that chases short-term tech “pops” with leveraged Nasdaq funds, and otherwise splits across three sleeves toggling between tech, long Treasuries, or inverse Treasuries, with some T-bills to temper risk.
Step 1 (short-term “pops” in tech):
- If the tech sector’s recent move looks washed out, buy a 3x tech fund (TQQQ) and keep 34% in T‑bills (BIL).
- If tech looks too hot, buy a 3x short tech fund (SQQQ) and keep 34% in BIL.
- If neither, go to Step 2.
Step 2 (no pops): build 3 equal parts:
- Bonds sleeve: choose long bonds (EDV) or inverse bonds (TBT), with rare 3x long-bond bounces (TMF).
- Tech vs Utilities: if tech is stronger, use 66% TQQQ + 34% BIL; else EDV.
- Bonds vs inverse S&P: if bonds look weak vs short stocks, use TBT; else 66% TQQQ + 34% BIL.
An adaptive, tech-focused strategy using risk-on/risk-off signals, a 34% cash buffer, and bond hedges. It diversifies beyond SPY and may capture tech-driven moves SPY misses, though out-of-sample risk is higher (larger drawdowns, lower risk-adjusted return).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.74 | 0.32 | 0.57 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744.59% | 14.24% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 40,843.89% | 45.54% | 5.03% | -1.55% | 1.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,094,389.02Regulatory Fees
$10,971.60
Total Slippage
$67,712.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 20, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum, mean reversion, tech-focused, bonds/rates, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks