XLP Overbought Check
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Binary, daily strategy: if XLP’s 10‑day RSI is above 75, move 100% into UVXY to bet on a volatility pop; otherwise stay in BIL (cash‑like T‑bills). Uses consumer‑staples “overbought” as an early warning for a short‑term pullback.
Each day it looks at XLP, an ETF of consumer‑staples stocks (e.g., Procter & Gamble, Coca‑Cola). It computes a 10‑day RSI, a 0–100 score of how fast price has risen; above 75 = “overbought.” If RSI > 75, it puts 100% into UVXY, a fund that jumps when market fear/volatility spikes. Otherwise it sits in BIL, a T‑bill (cash‑like) ETF. This is a contrarian, high‑risk bet that an overheated staples sector precedes a near‑term wobble.
Out-of-sample, this RSI-based binary strategy yields 18.48% annualized vs S&P 18.55%, with negative market beta and solid risk-adjusted metrics (Sharpe 0.66, Calmar 1.06). It offers diversification and volatility-timing upside, with cash when risk is calm.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | -0.16 | 0.02 | -0.12 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 798.42% | 15.79% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.96 | |
| 790.1% | 15.72% | 0.29% | 0.91% | 0.78 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$89,009.58Regulatory Fees
$109.81
Total Slippage
$962.93
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, rsi overbought signal, volatility timing, daily rebalance, cash vs uvxy