XLP Overbought Check
Today’s Change (Apr 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Binary, daily strategy: if XLP’s 10‑day RSI is above 75, move 100% into UVXY to bet on a volatility pop; otherwise stay in BIL (cash‑like T‑bills). Uses consumer‑staples “overbought” as an early warning for a short‑term pullback.
Each day it looks at XLP, an ETF of consumer‑staples stocks (e.g., Procter & Gamble, Coca‑Cola). It computes a 10‑day RSI, a 0–100 score of how fast price has risen; above 75 = “overbought.” If RSI > 75, it puts 100% into UVXY, a fund that jumps when market fear/volatility spikes. Otherwise it sits in BIL, a T‑bill (cash‑like) ETF. This is a contrarian, high‑risk bet that an overheated staples sector precedes a near‑term wobble.
Volatility-timing overlay: when XLP's 10-day RSI exceeds 75, shift to UVXY; otherwise stay in cash. Aims to diversify and hedge a core portfolio. Out-of-sample results lag SPY on return and risk, so use as a tactical sleeve, not core exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | -0.16 | 0.02 | -0.12 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 658.16% | 15.02% | -2.54% | -4.14% | 0.92 | |
| 773.6% | 16.16% | 0.29% | 6.02% | 0.79 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$87,359.57Regulatory Fees
$141.79
Total Slippage
$962.36
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, rsi overbought signal, volatility timing, daily rebalance, cash vs uvxy