XLP makes some sense
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A two-step RSI-based rule: if XLP RSI > 78 and UVXY RSI > 50, allocate to volatility ETFs VIXM and VIXY; otherwise hold BRK/A. Weights are equal across chosen assets, with minimal rebalancing and no automatic frequent rebalancing.
- The strategy runs in an equities framework and uses momentum signals (RSI) computed on two tickers with a 10-day window.
- First signal (XLP RSI vs 78): asks if the 10-day RSI of XLP (consumer staples sector) is greater than 78.
- If that is true, it checks a second signal inside: the 10-day RSI of UVXY (a volatility proxy) greater than 50.
- If both signals are true, the strategy allocates to volatility-related ETFs: VIXM and VIXY, i.e., it shifts into volatility hedges when both momentum signals fire.
- If either signal is false, the strategy falls back to holding Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/A).
- The wrapper indicates cash-equal weighting among the chosen assets (wt-cash-equal), a very small rebalancing tolerance (rebalance-corridor-width of 0.1), and explicitly no ongoing automatic rebalancing (rebalance: none).
- The name suggests the XLP signal is used as the gating rule rather than trading XLP itself.
- Assets involved: VIXM, VIXY (volatility futures ETFs), UVXY (another volatility ETF used for signaling), and BRK/A (Berkshire Hathaway Class A stock).
- Risk notes: volatility ETFs can be volatile and have decay/term-structure risks; this approach concentrates positions based on a pair of aggressive RSI thresholds, which may lead to rapid shifts in exposure during stress periods.
Strong risk-adjusted alpha: ~27.8% annualized return, Sharpe 2.36, max drawdown 2.58%—better risk/return than the S&P 500. RSI-gated shift to volatility hedges on momentum, otherwise BRK/A; minimal turnover. OOS days: 0
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | -0.01 | 0 | -0.06 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 4.06% | 0.28% | — | -3.14% | 0.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,405.84Regulatory Fees
$1.11
Total Slippage
$6.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, rsi-based signals, tactical allocation, volatility etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total