XLK vs XLU l May 30 2007
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily tech‑led risk switch. It buys +2x Nasdaq‑100 (QLD) when Tech is strong or very oversold, shorts with ‑2x (QID) after extreme heat, and otherwise goes to cash‑like T‑bills (BIL) if defensive sectors (Staples/Utilities) outmuscle Tech.
Each day it checks XLK (Tech ETF: Apple/Microsoft/Nvidia heavy). RSI is a 0–100 “speedometer” of recent moves.
- If XLK’s 10‑day RSI >80 (too hot), it uses QID (‑2x Nasdaq‑100) to bet against tech.
- If RSI <30 (washed out), it uses QLD (+2x Nasdaq‑100) to bet on a rebound.
- Otherwise it compares 6‑mo RSI of Tech vs XLP (Staples) and XLU (Utilities). If either defensive sector is stronger, it parks in BIL (T‑bills); else it holds QLD.
Out-of-sample, this tech-driven strategy targets ~32% annualized return vs the S&P's ~23%, with Calmar ~1.42 and alpha ~1.32%. Higher upside but slightly larger drawdown (~22.6% vs 18.8%), offering compelling risk-adjusted upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.87 | 0.34 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532.45% | 10.35% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.6 | |
| 20,203.62% | 32.79% | 4.36% | 0.42% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,030,362.45Regulatory Fees
$6,117.49
Total Slippage
$37,085.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 29, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, mean-reversion, risk-on/off, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, nasdaq-100 focus, defensive filter, daily
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total