XLK vs XLP/U l 30May2007
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
Daily, it checks tech’s short‑term and 6‑month strength. It buys 2x Nasdaq‑100 (QLD) in normal/bull periods, moves to T‑bills (BIL) when defensive sectors lead, and briefly shorts with 2x inverse (QID) after extreme tech spikes.
Goal: ride tech uptrends, avoid weak markets, and fade extreme spikes.
- RSI = a 0–100 score of recent up vs down days.
- Signals use XLK (tech). Defensive checks use XLP (consumer staples) and XLU (utilities).
- Trades: QLD (+2x Nasdaq‑100), QID (−2x Nasdaq‑100), or BIL (T‑bills).
Rules (daily): If XLK 10‑day RSI >80 → QID. Else if <30 → QLD. Else if XLK 6‑mo RSI < XLP or XLU → BIL; otherwise QLD.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher upside: 32.0% annualized return vs 23.2% for the S&P, Calmar ~1.42, and a risk-on/risk-off approach using 2x Nasdaq-100 with T‑Bills hedges—strong returns with controlled drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.87 | 0.34 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 557.35% | 10.5% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.6 | |
| 21,312.55% | 32.92% | 5.34% | 11.89% | 1.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,141,255.22Regulatory Fees
$6,307.24
Total Slippage
$38,347.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, tactical allocation, sector rotation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total