XLK vs XLP/U l 30May2007
Today’s Change (Apr 5, 2026)
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About
Daily, it checks tech’s short‑term and 6‑month strength. It buys 2x Nasdaq‑100 (QLD) in normal/bull periods, moves to T‑bills (BIL) when defensive sectors lead, and briefly shorts with 2x inverse (QID) after extreme tech spikes.
Goal: ride tech uptrends, avoid weak markets, and fade extreme spikes.
- RSI = a 0–100 score of recent up vs down days.
- Signals use XLK (tech). Defensive checks use XLP (consumer staples) and XLU (utilities).
- Trades: QLD (+2x Nasdaq‑100), QID (−2x Nasdaq‑100), or BIL (T‑bills).
Rules (daily): If XLK 10‑day RSI >80 → QID. Else if <30 → QLD. Else if XLK 6‑mo RSI < XLP or XLU → BIL; otherwise QLD.
Out-of-sample return ~32% vs S&P 500 ~23%; Calmar ~1.42 signals strong risk-adjusted gains. Accept some drawdown (~22.6%) for bigger upside as we ride tech leadership with regime-shift risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.87 | 0.34 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507.08% | 10.06% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.58 | |
| 21,287.06% | 32.99% | 5.36% | 9.54% | 1.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,138,705.71Regulatory Fees
$6,243.80
Total Slippage
$37,919.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, tactical allocation, sector rotation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total