XLK vs XLP/U l 30May2007
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
Daily, it checks tech’s short‑term and 6‑month strength. It buys 2x Nasdaq‑100 (QLD) in normal/bull periods, moves to T‑bills (BIL) when defensive sectors lead, and briefly shorts with 2x inverse (QID) after extreme tech spikes.
Goal: ride tech uptrends, avoid weak markets, and fade extreme spikes.
- RSI = a 0–100 score of recent up vs down days.
- Signals use XLK (tech). Defensive checks use XLP (consumer staples) and XLU (utilities).
- Trades: QLD (+2x Nasdaq‑100), QID (−2x Nasdaq‑100), or BIL (T‑bills).
Rules (daily): If XLK 10‑day RSI >80 → QID. Else if <30 → QLD. Else if XLK 6‑mo RSI < XLP or XLU → BIL; otherwise QLD.
Out-of-sample upside: 31.28% annualized vs SPY's 22.63%, with a Calmar of 1.38. Drawdowns can reach ~22%, but regime-based hedges (cash/T-bills) protect capital and position you to capture big tech-led rallies.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.88 | 0.33 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.58% | 10.75% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.62 | |
| 22,953.83% | 32.75% | 4.56% | -2.12% | 1.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,305,383.18Regulatory Fees
$5,560.95
Total Slippage
$43,390.81
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, tactical allocation, sector rotation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total