XLG Trend Cluster Strategy
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A monthly trend-and-momentum rotation. Uses XLG’s long-term trend to switch between offense and defense, then holds the single strongest cluster (growth vs defensive), weighting inside it toward steadier holdings.
Each month it checks XLG (an ETF of the 50 biggest S&P 500 stocks). If XLG is above its ~8‑month average, it’s risk‑on: pick the single group with the best recent strength (RSI = a score of recent up vs down days) from 4 growth/mega‑cap clusters, then spread inside that group, favoring steadier names (inverse‑vol). If below, go defensive: pick the strongest of 4 defensive groups (low‑vol ETFs, utilities, staples, dividend ETFs), equal‑weight inside.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets dramatically higher risk-adjusted gains than the S&P 500: ~80% annualized return vs ~11%, Sharpe ~3.28 vs ~0.96, Calmar ~17, and max drawdown ~4.6%, with disciplined monthly rotation.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 0.73 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 15.81% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.95 | |
| 210.03% | 35.39% | 6.49% | 19.89% | 1.57 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$31,002.75Regulatory Fees
$15.98
Total Slippage
$106.40
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 12, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, trend-following, momentum rotation, defensive rotation, inverse-vol weighting, monthly rebalance, large-cap, factor tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 33 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ATFV
Alger 35 ETF
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BA
Boeing Company
Stocks
CGDV
Capital Group Dividend Value ETF
Stocks
DUK
Duke Energy Corporation
Stocks
FDVV
Fidelity High Dividend ETF
Stocks
LGLV
State Street SPDR US Large Cap Low Volatility Index ETF
Stocks
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corp.
Stocks
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
Stocks
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Stocks