WTMF New Simple Fund Surfing
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Buys leveraged stock funds only when they’re more “sold off” than safe bonds and markets look calm. Uses WTMF’s volatility to size risk: calm = 100% in the most dipped fund; somewhat choppy = 50/50 with SHY; very choppy = all in SHY.
UPRO/TQQQ are 3× stock funds (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100). SHY is short‑term US Treasuries. WTMF is a managed‑futures ETF used as a volatility thermometer. RSI is a 0–100 “dip” score (lower = more sold off). Each day:
- If WTMF’s 21‑day volatility <1%, buy the one fund with the lowest 21‑day RSI among UPRO, TQQQ, SHY.
- If it’s between 1% and 2%, go 50% that pick, 50% SHY.
- If ≥2%, stay 100% in SHY.
Out-of-sample return ~35% vs SPY ~20%; levered dip bets (UPRO/TQQQ) with a volatility gate and SHY hedge deliver big upside in calm markets while controlling risk in turbulence. Drawdowns ~55%, Calmar ~0.64 signals a strong risk-adjusted edge.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 2.33 | 0.69 | 0.83 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 645.96% | 14% | 0.09% | 13.88% | 0.85 | |
| 62,113.09% | 52.1% | 8.97% | 20.96% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,221,309.37Regulatory Fees
$13,381.18
Total Slippage
$110,149.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean-reversion, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, rsi, risk-on/risk-off, us equities, treasuries, managed-futures vol proxy