WTMF New Simple Fund Surfing
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Buys leveraged stock funds only when they’re more “sold off” than safe bonds and markets look calm. Uses WTMF’s volatility to size risk: calm = 100% in the most dipped fund; somewhat choppy = 50/50 with SHY; very choppy = all in SHY.
UPRO/TQQQ are 3× stock funds (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100). SHY is short‑term US Treasuries. WTMF is a managed‑futures ETF used as a volatility thermometer. RSI is a 0–100 “dip” score (lower = more sold off). Each day:
- If WTMF’s 21‑day volatility <1%, buy the one fund with the lowest 21‑day RSI among UPRO, TQQQ, SHY.
- If it’s between 1% and 2%, go 50% that pick, 50% SHY.
- If ≥2%, stay 100% in SHY.
Potentially outsized upside: ~47% annualized out-of-sample vs S&P's ~20%, aided by a volatility filter and selective leverage in calm markets, with shifts to Treasuries in turbulence. Higher upside, but also higher drawdown risk in bad regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 2.34 | 0.69 | 0.83 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.37% | 13.77% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.84 | |
| 56,961.33% | 51.95% | 14.9% | 0.13% | 1.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,706,132.82Regulatory Fees
$16,488.71
Total Slippage
$104,895.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean-reversion, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, rsi, risk-on/risk-off, us equities, treasuries, managed-futures vol proxy