WTMF New Simple Fund Surfing
Today’s Change (Sep 11, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Buys leveraged stock funds only when they’re more “sold off” than safe bonds and markets look calm. Uses WTMF’s volatility to size risk: calm = 100% in the most dipped fund; somewhat choppy = 50/50 with SHY; very choppy = all in SHY.
UPRO/TQQQ are 3× stock funds (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100). SHY is short‑term US Treasuries. WTMF is a managed‑futures ETF used as a volatility thermometer. RSI is a 0–100 “dip” score (lower = more sold off). Each day:
- If WTMF’s 21‑day volatility <1%, buy the one fund with the lowest 21‑day RSI among UPRO, TQQQ, SHY.
- If it’s between 1% and 2%, go 50% that pick, 50% SHY.
- If ≥2%, stay 100% in SHY.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~28.6% vs SPY ~18.9%, driven by a volatility-gated dip-buy in 3x ETFs with a SHY fallback. Potential for higher upside in calm markets with disciplined risk sizing, but drawdowns can reach ~55%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 2.34 | 0.68 | 0.83 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 659.42% | 13.91% | -1.97% | 4.74% | 0.85 | |
| 58,828.4% | 50.66% | -4.86% | 3.59% | 1.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,892,839.92Regulatory Fees
$14,365.48
Total Slippage
$115,920.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean-reversion, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, rsi, risk-on/risk-off, us equities, treasuries, managed-futures vol proxy