WTMF New Simple Fund Surfing
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Buys dips in 3x stock funds when markets are calm and hides in short‑term Treasuries when choppy. Picks the most “oversold” fund by RSI, using WTMF’s 21‑day volatility to define calm vs choppy, with a middle regime that splits with SHY.
UPRO = 3x S&P 500, TQQQ = 3x Nasdaq‑100 (big tech tilt), SHY = short‑term Treasuries, WTMF = managed‑futures (used as a calmness meter). It checks how bouncy WTMF has been over ~21 days. If very calm (<1%), buy the one with the lowest RSI (a 0–100 “recent‑fall” score) among UPRO/TQQQ/SHY. If somewhat calm (<2%), split 50/50 between that pick and SHY. If choppy (≥2%), stay in SHY. Two calmness checks (1% and 2%) are averaged for smoother moves.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~47% vs SPY ~20%, by buying dips in calm markets with 3x leveraged ETFs and hedging with Treasuries. Potentially higher upside than the S&P in steady times, but expect larger drawdowns in stressed markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 2.34 | 0.69 | 0.83 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 579.14% | 13.58% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.83 | |
| 57,547.34% | 52.57% | 6.59% | -7.81% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,764,734.50Regulatory Fees
$16,157.11
Total Slippage
$102,649.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etf timing, rsi dip-buying, volatility filter, risk-on/risk-off, treasuries hedge, managed futures vol proxy