WTMF New Simple Fund Surfing
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Buys leveraged stock funds only when they’re more “sold off” than safe bonds and markets look calm. Uses WTMF’s volatility to size risk: calm = 100% in the most dipped fund; somewhat choppy = 50/50 with SHY; very choppy = all in SHY.
UPRO/TQQQ are 3× stock funds (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100). SHY is short‑term US Treasuries. WTMF is a managed‑futures ETF used as a volatility thermometer. RSI is a 0–100 “dip” score (lower = more sold off). Each day:
- If WTMF’s 21‑day volatility <1%, buy the one fund with the lowest 21‑day RSI among UPRO, TQQQ, SHY.
- If it’s between 1% and 2%, go 50% that pick, 50% SHY.
- If ≥2%, stay 100% in SHY.
This strategy offers higher upside than the S&P 500: out-of-sample annualized return ≈47% vs ≈20% for SPY, using a volatility-gated, dip-buying levered-equity rule. But expect larger drawdowns (≈55%) and mixed risk-adjusted results.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 2.34 | 0.69 | 0.83 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609.79% | 13.79% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.84 | |
| 56,988.96% | 51.97% | 4.39% | 0.18% | 1.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,708,896.08Regulatory Fees
$16,488.71
Total Slippage
$104,895.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean-reversion, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, rsi, risk-on/risk-off, us equities, treasuries, managed-futures vol proxy