[Work] [Baller] Long Backtest Switchboard - 602% AR 28.9% DD 4/20/2013
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule‑based switchboard that rides quick rebounds in 3x tech/semis, hedges overbought markets with inverse/volatility ETFs, and uses Treasury signals to decide risk‑on vs risk‑off. High risk, fast‑moving, tax‑complicated (K‑1s possible).
Each day it picks the “playbook” that worked best recently. Then it checks backdrop: stocks trending up/down, interest rates rising/falling (via Treasury ETFs), and market stress.
Rules buy fast movers (3x tech/semis) on dips and switch to hedges (inverse/UVXY) when stocks look “too hot.”
Signals used: RSI (a speedometer of recent moves), short‑term momentum, and bond cues.
Out-of-sample, the strategy aims higher growth (26.4% vs SPY’s 23.4%) via rule-based regime switching that rides tech rebounds and hedges spikes with volatility/inverse tools. Expect bigger drawdowns in stress, but higher long-run upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.72 | 0.99 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433.02% | 14.1% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 142,471,352,879.04% | 426.94% | 6.96% | -4.13% | 2.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$14,247,135,297,904.37Regulatory Fees
$11,748,158,113.34
Total Slippage
$15,886,152,685.38
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, mean reversion, trend following, regime switching, daily rebalance, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 65 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks