Word is Bond + Pure Black Swan Catcher WM 74 (TQQQ FTLT instead of SOXL, TQQQ, TECL, SVXY)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A tactical, rules-based plan: use bond strength and long-term trend checks to time leveraged tech (TQQQ/TECL/UPRO), hedge crashes with UVXY when markets get “too hot,” and otherwise sit in Treasuries/T‑bills.
Three sleeves:
1) Crash hedge: when the market looks overheated or volatility heats up, it buys UVXY (spikes in panics); otherwise it parks in short‑term bonds (BSV).
2) Bond signal (“Word is Bond”): if bond ETFs (BND/AGG/IEI/SHY) look stronger than QQQ, it turns risk‑on; else sits in T‑bills (BIL).
3) Risk‑on: if SPY is above its 200‑day trend it holds TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) unless too hot; if below, it may try TECL/UPRO bounces, or switch to SQQQ or TLT.
Out-of-sample edge: about 43% annualized return vs ~17% S&P; Sharpe about 1.07, Calmar about 1.12. Rule-based mix of leveraged tech bets, bond momentum, and a crash hedge for higher growth; note drawdowns can be ~38%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 0.71 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 373,153.83% | 77.2% | 1.34% | 8.93% | 1.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$37,325,383.29Regulatory Fees
$79,047.65
Total Slippage
$542,141.83
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged tech momentum, bond-momentum gating, volatility hedge, tactical trend, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks