Wooden ARKK Machine 2.2b no IEF no TYO [RSI 10d SCHZ URTY]
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A one-ETF-at-a-time, RSI-driven regime switch between a pool of leveraged bulls and leveraged bears, selecting the weakest performer within the chosen pool on a 4-day lookback, with 90% exposure and 10% cash, and no automatic daily rebalancing.
In plain terms: the model looks at two markets—bond-like assets (SCHZ) and a very aggressive stock market proxy (URTY). It measures recent price momentum (RSI) for each over about 10 days. If bonds look stronger (SCHZ RSI is higher), the system picks the single worst-performing bull ETF in a small set (e.g., TECL, TARK, URTY, TMF, YINN, EDC, SOXX, LABU, HIBL) over the last few days and buys it with 90% of capital, keeping 10% in cash. If stocks look stronger (URTY RSI higher or SCHZ not higher), it instead picks the single worst-performing bear ETF in a different set (PSQ, SARK, TMV, DRV, JDST, LABD, SH) and executes the same 90/10 allocation. The ranking uses a 4-day moving-average return, computed over a 15-day window, and picks the bottom candidate. There’s no ongoing daily rebalancing; the position only changes when the rule fires. The bull and bear ETF pools are composed of highly leveraged funds, so the strategy aims at short-term bets with amplified exposure, not long-term buy-and-hold diversification.
Out-of-sample, this RSI-driven levered-ETF strategy targets higher upside (26.5% vs 24.2% for S&P) with a disciplined 90/10 long-cash stance, using contrarian bets in bull/bear pools. Higher upside, but greater drawdown risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged momentum, single-asset tilt, rsi-based regime switch, mean-reversion, contrarian exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 1X Short Innovation Daily ETF
Stocks
SCHZ
Schwab US Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks