Wooden ARKK Machine 2.2b
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, contrarian mean‑reversion sleeve. It compares bond vs high‑beta‑stock “heat” (RSI) to choose a bull or bear menu, then buys the most beaten‑down ETF for a short‑term bounce. Uses leveraged long/inverse funds across equities, Treasuries, and global beta.
Daily it compares short‑term “heat” (RSI = a 0–100 gauge of how fast price has moved recently) of 3–7Y US Treasuries (IEI) vs high‑volatility US stocks (SPHB). If bonds look hotter, it picks 1 long ETF; otherwise 1 inverse ETF. It always buys the one that has fallen most over ~4 days, aiming for a bounce. Only a small sleeve (~27–30%) is used; the rest stays in cash/elsewhere.
Out-of-sample upside: ~52% annualized return vs ~22% for SPY. Sharpe ~0.95, Calmar ~0.96. Risk controlled by a small sleeve and cash. Drawdowns ~54%, but potential big upside from short-term mean-reversions.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 4, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, long/short, rsi signal, risk-on/off, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 1X Short Innovation Daily ETF
Stocks