Wooden ARKK Machine 2.2
Today’s Change (Apr 19, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Each day it checks whether bonds or risky stocks look stronger, then makes a contrarian bet: buy the biggest short‑term loser from a small list of leveraged ETFs (bullish or bearish). One holding at a time, ~90% invested, very high risk.
Daily, it runs a simple heat check: compare a 7‑day “up‑vs‑down” score (often called RSI) of US Treasuries (IEI) to risky stocks (SPHB). If bonds look stronger, it buys the single worst 4‑day performer from a set of bullish, leveraged ETFs; otherwise it buys the worst from a set of inverse (bearish) ETFs. It puts ~90% in that one fund and leaves the rest in cash. It’s a short‑term contrarian bounce tactic.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.52 vs ~1.41 for the S&P; annualized return ~103% vs ~22%; Calmar ~2.40. Higher risk, but substantially stronger risk-adjusted upside from regime-driven contrarian bets on leveraged ETFs.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 0.71 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.45% | 16.54% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.98 | |
| 20,189.27% | 286.64% | 8.08% | 24.56% | 2.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,028,926.75Regulatory Fees
$10,302.90
Total Slippage
$64,410.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, regime switching, daily rebalance, long/short
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 1X Short Innovation Daily ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
TARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 2X Long Innovation ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks