Wooden ARKK Machine 2.2
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily momentum-based tilt: if bonds show stronger short-term momentum than high-beta stocks, go long one top-ranked leveraged ETF; otherwise, lean heavily into one inverse/bear ETF to hedge.
- Every day, the strategy decides between two moods: risk-on (buy a leveraged tech/growth/EM asset) or risk-off (buy a bear/inverse asset).
- It uses a simple momentum check: compare the short-term momentum of a short-term treasury ETF (IEI) with the momentum of a high-beta equity ETF (SPHB) using a 7-day lookback. If IEI’s momentum is stronger (IEI RSI > SPHB RSI), the system goes into the long mood; otherwise it goes into the hedging mood.
- Long mood: from a pool of seven long ETFs (TARK, TECL, UPRO, TMF, YINN, EDC, SOXX), it ranks them by how they’ve done recently (using a moving-average return over a 4-day window) within a 15-day lookback, and buys a single instrument with full allocation (100%).
- Short mood: from a pool of five inverse/bear ETFs (SARK, PSQ, TMV, DRV, TYO), it ranks them the same way and buys a single instrument with 90% of the allocation.
- Rebalancing happens daily, so the chosen instrument can change each day based on the latest ranking and signal.
- The setup uses leverage-heavy vehicles, so results depend on precise timing and can be volatile. The plan intends to overweight cash only in a way implied by the 90/100 weight in the short leg and the 100/100 weight in the long leg, but overall it remains a highly directional, single-asset-at-a-time approach.
Out-of-sample momentum strategy aiming to beat the S&P on a risk-adjusted basis. Sharpe ~1.52 vs SPY ~1.41, Calmar ~2.40, and ~103% annualized return, with higher drawdowns (~43%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | 0.74 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.87% | 15.14% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.91 | |
| 18,669.52% | 290.71% | 2.13% | 19.85% | 2.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,876,951.62Regulatory Fees
$9,552.23
Total Slippage
$59,671.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum, trend-following, risk-on/risk-off, long/short, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 1X Short Innovation Daily ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
TARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 2X Long Innovation ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks