Wooden ARKK Machine 2.2
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily contrarian switch: compares short‑term strength of Treasuries (IEI) vs high‑beta stocks (SPHB) to choose bull or bear leveraged ETFs, then buys the biggest 4‑day laggard. 90% invested, 10% cash. Very volatile and high risk.
Each day it compares a 7‑day “heat” score (RSI) for Treasuries (IEI) vs high‑volatility U.S. stocks (SPHB). If bonds look stronger, it shops a bull list (2x ARKK, 3x tech/S&P, 3x long Treasuries, 3x China/EM, semis). If stocks look stronger, it shops a bear list (short ARKK/Nasdaq, 3x short Treasuries/real estate). From that aisle, it buys the single worst 4‑day performer (betting on a bounce). 90% invested; 10% cash. Rebalanced daily. Very high risk.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted returns than the S&P. Sharpe ~1.52 vs 1.41, Calmar ~2.40, and ~103% annualized vs ~22%—driven by daily regime switching and contrarian bets in a concentrated, leveraged sleeve. Expect larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 0.74 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.56% | 15.75% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.94 | |
| 16,997.48% | 285.61% | 21.09% | 4.46% | 2.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,709,748.48Regulatory Fees
$9,264.13
Total Slippage
$57,832.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switch, mean reversion, leveraged/inverse etfs, daily rebalance, tech/innovation, risk-on/risk-off, concentrated
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 1X Short Innovation Daily ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
TARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 2X Long Innovation ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks