Wooden ARKK Machine - 10d SCHZ vs. 10d URTY
Today’s Change (Dec 15, 2025)
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About
Compares short‑term strength of a bond fund vs. a leveraged small‑cap fund, then buys one leveraged ETF (bull or bear) that’s been hit hardest over the last few days, aiming for a short‑term rebound. High risk, single‑position, fast‑moving.
- Look at the last ~10 days of price action for two funds: SCHZ (US bonds) and URTY (3x small‑cap stocks). This produces a “hot/cold” score (RSI) for each.
- If bonds look stronger, buy 1 ETF from a list of bullish funds; if small‑caps look stronger (or tied), buy 1 from a list of bearish (short) funds.
- In either list, pick the single ETF that has dropped the most versus its recent 4‑day average, aiming for a short‑term bounce. Recheck regularly; typical hold ~2 weeks.
Out-of-sample annualized return: 29.6% vs 25.97% for the S&P. A rules-based, single-ETF rotation that targets short-term mean-rebounds using levered ETFs for amplified upside. Higher upside and diversification, but expect larger drawdowns (up to ~55%) than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 0.78 | 0.03 | 0.18 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.16% | 16.71% | -0.24% | 3.99% | 0.97 | |
| 51,324.37% | 468.77% | 9.94% | 51.04% | 2.63 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,142,436.66Regulatory Fees
$38,758.26
Total Slippage
$258,277.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 20, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset rotation, rsi signal, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/off, single-etf position
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 1X Short Innovation Daily ETF
Stocks
SCHZ
Schwab US Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks