WM 74's Frontrunner (Anansi\Pal)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based “frontrunner” strategy that ranks a broad ETF universe by momentum, then puts all capital into the top-ranked asset if risk checks pass. If risk signals are high, it pivots toward cash/defensive/assets like Treasuries or hedges. Primarily equity-focused, with volatility and bond hedges activated by risk signals; rebalances daily.
- Every day, scan a broad set of ETFs and ETNs (stocks, sectors, volatility plays, Treasuries, cash proxies).
- For each asset, compute momentum-like and risk metrics (using indicators similar to RSI with short lookbacks, 25- and 40-day windows, and other return/risk measures).
- Rank assets by 25-day cumulative return and identify the top candidate.
- Apply a cascade of checks on the top candidate (and related assets) to ensure it isn’t overbought, overly volatile, or likely to suffer large drawdowns. Checks look at RSI-like strength, moving-average returns, and recent drawdown risk; if surpassed thresholds are hit, that asset is sidelined.
- If the top asset passes all risk/momentum tests, allocate 100% to that asset (the “frontrunner”).
- If it does not pass, explore defensives or hedges (short-term Treasuries, bonds, cash proxies, or leveraged/inverse ETFs) and/or reduce exposure to a cash-like position (weights such as 85/100 in some branches).
- The designer also groups logic under a naming convention (e.g., Omelette BSC PAL WM74) but the practical outcome is a daily selection of a single instrument or a defensive posture.
- The overall stance is predominately equities when signals are favorable, with heavy emphasis on risk controls. Rebalancing is daily, and the final choice is always cast as a single asset (or a defensive proxy) rather than a diversified mix. This is a high-conviction, rule-based approach intended to ride the best momentum signal while avoiding dangerous risk regimes.
A daily, risk-controlled momentum frontrunner that picks the top asset and hedges when needed. It adds a disciplined overlay to SPY, aiming to shrink drawdowns and diversify risk in volatile markets while pursuing upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | -0.79 | 0.05 | -0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511.42% | 13.89% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 2,189,044.71% | 105.06% | 0.02% | -8.41% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$218,914,471.30Regulatory Fees
$1,027,544.00
Total Slippage
$7,365,630.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 24, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum-based tactical picker, single-asset frontrunner, volatility-aware, equity/defense mix
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
MGC
Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Index ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SCHX
Schwab U.S. Large- Cap ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks