Which Way Is Up? Trading 1.3
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily trend-and-heat switch. If bonds are strong, ride risk (SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL) unless fear is hot—then use UVXY/VIXM; if stocks aren’t trending, rotate to UTSL/DRN/TMF (else SSO/SPXL). If bonds are weak, buy oversold bounces or hold DWSH/UUP/SQQQ/SPXS.
Rebalances daily. It checks trend (price vs 200‑day avg) and short‑term “heat” (14‑day RSI: 0–100; >70 hot, <30 cold).
- If bonds (BND) trend up: when fear (VIXY) or SPY is hot, buy volatility (VIX: UVXY/VIXM). Else buy one risk‑on stock fund (3x S&P/Nasdaq/semis: SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL) with the cooler RSI; if SPY isn’t trending up, use bullish defensives (utilities/real estate/treasuries/consumer: UTSL/DRN/TMF/WANT); else SSO/SPXL.
- If bonds trend down: if SPY is washed‑out, try a bounce (SPXL/TQQQ); else hold a defensive (shorts or USD: DWSH/UUP/SQQQ/SPXS).
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.34 vs SPY ~1.12; Calmar ~1.63; annualized return ~113% vs ~19%; alpha ~0.75. Higher drawdowns (~69% vs ~19%), but stronger risk-adjusted upside on tested data.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 0.03 | 0 | 0.01 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.54% | 16.64% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 | |
| 1,640,017.49% | 283.92% | -26.96% | -20.62% | 2.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$164,011,748.65Regulatory Fees
$540,242.97
Total Slippage
$3,865,835.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, rsi momentum, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, short/inverse, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DWSH
AdvisorShares Dorsey Wright Short ETF
Stocks
PSR
Invesco Active U.S. Real Estate Fund
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks