Which Way Is Up? Trading 1.2
Today’s Change (Jul 21, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based switch that first checks bonds. If bonds are weak, it holds one defensive trade (short stocks or long USD). If bonds are fine, it uses volatility and S&P 500 trend/“heat” to choose long volatility, a leveraged stock index bull, or a defensive mix with Treasuries.
Step 1 (regime): If bonds (BND) are below their 200‑day trend, buy ONE defensive play—the calmest by 14‑day RSI (a 0–100 “heat” gauge): short stocks (SPXS/SQQQ/DWSH) or long USD (UUP).
Else, if VIX (via VIXY) is “hot” (RSI>70), buy a volatility fund (UVXY/VIXM).
Else, if SPY is above its 200‑day, buy a leveraged stock bull (SPXL or TQQQ) unless SPY is overheated (RSI>70), then hold volatility.
If SPY is below its 200‑day, pair one sector bull (WANT/DRN/UTSL, each only if its sector is trending up; else SSO) with long Treasuries (TLT). Rebalanced daily.
Dynamic, rules-based strategy diversifies risk vs the S&P 500 by rotating into volatility, Treasuries, or defensives based on regime signals: seeking downside protection and volatility-driven opportunities.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | -0.12 | 0 | -0.04 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237.59% | 17.48% | -0.31% | 4.98% | 0.92 | |
| 245,855.06% | 181.21% | -13.59% | -29.27% | 1.91 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$24,595,506.17Regulatory Fees
$97,990.71
Total Slippage
$921,900.40
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, volatility, treasuries