Which Way Is Up? Trading 1.1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily trend-and-heat checks. If bonds rise, ride stock uptrends with 3× funds unless markets look too hot, then pivot to VIX funds. If bonds fall, hold one hedge (inverse stocks or USD). In weak stock trends, favor staples/utilities/real estate plus TLT. ~10% cash.
Two gauges: 200‑day avg (trend) and RSI (0–100 heat; >70=hot). Rebalances daily.
Bonds up (BND): If volatility (VIXY) is hot, use a VIX fund (VIXM/UVXY). Else if stocks (SPY) trend up, buy a 3× bull (SPXL/TQQQ); if SPY is hot, use VIX instead. If stocks aren’t in an uptrend, hold defensives (XLP staples, XLU utilities, PSR real estate) plus TLT. Keeps ~10% cash.
Bonds down: hold one hedge from DWSH, UUP, SQQQ, SPXS.
Regime-driven strategy targets higher out-of-sample upside vs the S&P 500 via trend/volatility timing and leverage, with solid risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.37). Expect higher drawdowns, but potential outsized gains in volatile markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | -0.43 | 0.02 | -0.14 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173.61% | 14.22% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.78 | |
| 273,911.65% | 184.48% | -1.37% | -8.68% | 1.97 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$27,401,164.63Regulatory Fees
$76,874.48
Total Slippage
$539,443.77
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, volatility timing, tactical rotation, leveraged/inverse etfs, defensive sectors, bonds, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DWSH
AdvisorShares Dorsey Wright Short ETF
Stocks
PSR
Invesco Active U.S. Real Estate Fund
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks