Which Way Is Up? Trading 1.1
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily rules-based rotation. It rides stock uptrends with leveraged ETFs, flips to volatility when markets overheat, moves to defensives when stocks weaken, and uses inverse/safe‑haven ETFs when bonds slump—always picking the least “hot” choice by 14‑day RSI.
Each day it checks two things: trend and heat. Trend = price vs its 200‑day average (a long‑term line). Heat = a 14‑day RSI (0–100 score of recent up vs down moves; 70 = very hot). If bonds (BND) trend up, it invests most in one pick: ride stocks (SPXL/TQQQ), switch to volatility (UVXY/VIXM) if markets look overheated, or go defensive (XLP/XLU/PSR/TLT) if stocks weaken. If bonds are weak, pick a bearish/safe‑haven ETF (SQQQ, SPXS, DWSH, UUP). It always chooses the “coolest” option (lowest RSI).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~60% annualized return vs ~19% for S&P, with Sharpe ~1.12 and Calmar ~1.37—strong risk-adjusted upside from trend/volatility timing. Note: max drawdown ~43.7% vs SPY ~18.8%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | -0.43 | 0.02 | -0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167.89% | 13.83% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.76 | |
| 211,844.78% | 173.68% | -21.48% | -20.63% | 1.91 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,194,477.93Regulatory Fees
$78,221.90
Total Slippage
$549,016.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, trend following, mean reversion (rsi), volatility trading, leveraged/inverse etfs, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DWSH
AdvisorShares Dorsey Wright Short ETF
Stocks
PSR
Invesco Active U.S. Real Estate Fund
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks