Which way is up? -Krazie 20240217
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based switcher that hunts for strong trends but avoids short-term overheats. It rotates among SPY/QQQ, 3× SPXL/TQQQ, 3× Treasury TMF/TMV, or VIX funds, with about 10% kept in cash.
Each day it checks for a volatility spike (VIX). If fear is spiking, it buys a VIX fund. If not, it looks at long‑term trends: when stocks are healthy it picks a 3× S&P 500 or 3× Nasdaq fund (the one that looks less overheated); in stock downtrends it uses regular SPY/QQQ. If bonds look weak, it trades 3× long or 3× short Treasuries, whichever is moving more. Keeps ~10% in cash.
Capitalize on big trends with built-in hedges. Out-of-sample annualized return: ~46.8% vs SPY ~20.6%, plus risk controls via volatility timing and regime-switching across equities, bonds, and VIX - accepting higher leverage risk for higher upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | 0.69 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 578.87% | 13.51% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 341,379.82% | 71.33% | -16.46% | -15.56% | 1.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$34,147,982.39Regulatory Fees
$112,134.48
Total Slippage
$792,489.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,momentum,volatility-timing,regime-switching,leveraged etfs,tactical asset allocation,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks