Which way is up? -Krazie 20240217
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based switcher that hunts for strong trends but avoids short-term overheats. It rotates among SPY/QQQ, 3× SPXL/TQQQ, 3× Treasury TMF/TMV, or VIX funds, with about 10% kept in cash.
Each day it checks for a volatility spike (VIX). If fear is spiking, it buys a VIX fund. If not, it looks at long‑term trends: when stocks are healthy it picks a 3× S&P 500 or 3× Nasdaq fund (the one that looks less overheated); in stock downtrends it uses regular SPY/QQQ. If bonds look weak, it trades 3× long or 3× short Treasuries, whichever is moving more. Keeps ~10% in cash.
Out-of-sample return: 21.31% vs S&P 500 20.07%. A daily, rules-based regime-switching approach that shifts among leveraged equities, Treasuries, and volatility hedges to target higher upside while adapting to market regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 0.7 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692.76% | 14.12% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.86 | |
| 359,965.19% | 68.63% | 20.3% | 13.14% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$36,006,518.80Regulatory Fees
$108,632.33
Total Slippage
$1,022,183.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,momentum,volatility-timing,regime-switching,leveraged etfs,tactical asset allocation,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks