Which way is up? -Krazie 20240217
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules‑based rotation that puts ~90% into one ETF: volatility (VIXY/VIXM) when fear or stocks are overheated; leveraged SPXL/TQQQ in healthy uptrends; SPY/QQQ when trends weaken; or TMF/TMV to ride rising/falling Treasury prices.
RSI = 0–100 “heat”; >70 = hot. The 200‑day average marks trend. Each day, ~90% goes into 1 ETF. If fear is hot (VIXY RSI>70), own volatility (VIXY/VIXM; pick the cooler). Otherwise use bonds (BND) as a switch: Bonds up → If SPY >200‑day and not hot, own SPXL or TQQQ (3× S&P/Nasdaq; cooler). If SPY <200‑day, own SPY or QQQ (cooler). If SPY is hot, switch to volatility. Bonds down → own TMF or TMV (3× long/short Treasuries; stronger).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~46.8% annualized returns vs SPY's ~20.6%, with ~1.0 Sharpe and Calmar ~0.97. Dynamic hedging and regime switching aim for superior risk-adjusted growth versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 0.69 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593.38% | 13.71% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 414,858.35% | 73.78% | -1.37% | -8.68% | 1.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$41,495,835.37Regulatory Fees
$110,043.33
Total Slippage
$777,566.71
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, momentum/rsi timing, regime switching, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, us equities, us treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks