Which way is up? -Krazie 20240217
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast-moving, aggressive strategy that switches daily between leveraged stock funds, volatility funds, and Treasury bets based on market trend and overheating signals.
This strategy checks the market every day and asks: are bonds healthy, are stocks healthy, and is fear spiking?
If stocks and bonds both look strong, it buys a leveraged stock fund. If stocks look overheated, it shifts to a volatility fund. If bonds look weak, it makes a leveraged bet on the direction of long-term Treasury bonds. It leaves 10% in cash.
Out-of-sample edge: ~19.09% annualized return vs S&P 18.84%, Sharpe ~0.60, Calmar ~0.40. Expect higher drawdowns (~48% vs ~19%) for a dynamic, regime-switching approach that aims to outperform in varied markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | 0.7 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 682.14% | 13.95% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.85 | |
| 347,681.9% | 67.82% | -3.51% | 14.07% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$34,778,189.55Regulatory Fees
$109,314.70
Total Slippage
$1,028,656.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, momentum, trend following, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks