What the Hell did I make: Inverse- Pop or Invest|8d IEF RSI vs 45d PSQ RSI
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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About
A daily, tactical “dip‑buy the bear” system. If bonds look weak versus short‑Nasdaq momentum, it hunts short‑term pops in inverse (often leveraged) ETFs across tech, S&P, energy, financials, materials, biotech, and long bonds; otherwise it parks in T‑bills. Very aggressive.
- First, it compares recent-move scores (RSI, 0–100) of IEF (7–10Y Treasuries) vs PSQ (−1x Nasdaq). If bonds look weaker, it turns on the bearish playbook.
- Then it picks a calmer basket of inverse funds (tech, S&P 500, financials, energy, materials, biotech, long bonds) and buys the most “washed‑out” choices. If they aren’t washed‑out enough, it holds BIL (T‑bills).
- KMLM (a trend‑following ETF) is used as a tie‑breaker in a few checks.
- Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~28.8% annualized return vs SPX ~18.3%, Sharpe ~1.22 vs ~1.09, Calmar ~1.05. A bold, tactical strategy aiming for stronger growth than the S&P with risk controls—acknowledging higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | -0.97 | 0.21 | -0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.11% | 14.03% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.86 | |
| 1,810.84% | 81.87% | -0.93% | -1.73% | 1.84 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$191,083.51Regulatory Fees
$804.57
Total Slippage
$5,203.62
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, daily rebalancing, inverse/short etfs, leveraged etfs, rsi momentum, volatility filter, drawdown filter, market timing, risk-on/off, sector rotation, bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
ERY
Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SMN
ProShares UltraShort Materials
Stocks
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares
Stocks