What the Hell did I make: Inverse- Pop or Invest|8d IEF RSI vs 45d PSQ RSI
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, tactical “bet‑against” strategy. It times entries into inverse ETFs using a simple 0–100 momentum gauge and buys the ones that just cooled off; otherwise it holds T‑Bills. Focus on Nasdaq, long Treasuries, and biotech. Very high risk.
Daily, it compares a 0–100 speedometer (RSI: low=recently falling, high=rising) for bonds (IEF, 8d) vs a bearish Nasdaq fund (PSQ, 45d). If bonds look weaker, it buys 1–2 “bet‑against” ETFs that just cooled off most; else it parks in cash‑like BIL. Extra checks can flip into inverse biotech or short Treasuries when they’re beaten up. Tickers: SQQQ(−3x Nasdaq), TMV(−3x 20+Y Treas), LABD(−3x Biotech), PSQ(−1x Nasdaq), IEF(7–10Y Treas), BIL(T‑Bills), KMLM(trend).
Out-of-sample: ~29% annualized return, Sharpe ~1.21, beta -0.30; stronger risk-adjusted gains vs the S&P 500, with higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | -0.97 | 0.21 | -0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.25% | 13.32% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.82 | |
| 1,794.38% | 78.85% | -0.96% | 0.32% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$189,437.68Regulatory Fees
$905.78
Total Slippage
$5,795.56
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bearish timing, inverse etfs, leveraged, rsi/momentum, volatility filters, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
ERY
Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SMN
ProShares UltraShort Materials
Stocks
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares
Stocks