What the Hell did I make: Inverse- Pop or Invest|8d IEF RSI vs 45d PSQ RSI
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive daily strategy that rotates among leveraged bearish funds, using bond and momentum signals to decide when to bet against tech, sectors, or long-term bonds—and when to hide in T-bills.
This strategy is mostly a machine for making short-term bearish bets. It checks whether bonds (IEF) look weaker than a Nasdaq bearish fund (PSQ). That decides which playbook to use.
From there, it mainly chooses among inverse funds that rise when tech, biotech, energy, banks, materials, the S&P 500, or long bonds fall. It often buys the ones that have been beaten down recently, and if conditions look too risky, it parks money in BIL (short-term Treasury bills).
Out-of-sample return ~26% vs SPY ~18%, with Calmar ~0.91 and Sharpe ~1.01. Leveraged inverse bets offer higher upside and sector/bond diversification, backed by cash hedges. Note: higher drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | -1 | 0.22 | -0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115.28% | 14.42% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.9 | |
| 2,090.99% | 72.03% | 10.89% | 22.77% | 1.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$219,098.84Regulatory Fees
$915.34
Total Slippage
$7,245.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged inverse etfs, bearish, contrarian mean reversion, volatility filter, bond regime, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
ERY
Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SMN
ProShares UltraShort Materials
Stocks
SPDN
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks