What More Do You Need? LBT
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based switch that moves between cash-like T‑bills, tech, defensive staples/oil, or an inverse Nasdaq hedge, using simple signals (RSI and the 200‑day average) to avoid extremes and follow the market’s trend.
Each day it reads two simple signals: RSI (0–100 gauge of “hot” vs “washed‑out” price moves) and the 200‑day average (long‑term trend). Tickers: QQQ=Nasdaq‑100, SPY=S&P 500, XLK=Tech, XLP=Consumer Staples, DBO=Crude oil, PSQ=Inverse QQQ, BIL=T‑bills. If QQQ or SPY look overheated, go to BIL. If QQQ looks washed‑out, buy XLK. Else, if bonds look steadier than shorting tech, buy XLK. Otherwise: if SPY is in an uptrend, hold XLP and sometimes DBO; if downtrend, hold PSQ.
Out-of-sample edge: ~28% annualized return with Sharpe ~1.11, lower beta ~0.93, max drawdown ~16% (vs 18.8% for SPY), and +0.12 alpha - delivering stronger risk-adjusted results and downside protection vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 0.56 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519.21% | 10.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 20,500.06% | 32.82% | 10.6% | 18.79% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,060,006.01Regulatory Fees
$5,115.73
Total Slippage
$32,648.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, rsi momentum, 200-day trend, sector rotation, inverse etf hedge, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks