What More Do You Need? (Even Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based switcher that rotates among leveraged Nasdaq, Treasuries, staples, oil/dollar/SPY, or cash/shorts using simple heat/cold (RSI) and trend filters to go risk‑on in tech, defensive in bonds/staples, or bearish/cash in downtrends.
It checks markets daily.
- If stocks are extremely “hot,” it moves to long‑term US Treasury bonds (TLT).
- If the Nasdaq is extremely “cold,” it buys 2x tech (ROM) for a bounce.
- Otherwise it chooses between 2x Nasdaq (QLD), a mix of staples + the strongest of oil/USD/SPY, short 2x Nasdaq (QID), or T‑bills (SHV) based on trend checks.
Out-of-sample, this tactical, rules-based strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P 500: Sharpe ~1.65 vs ~1.37; annualized return ~73.7% vs ~23%; Calmar ~3.0; with a higher max drawdown (~24.8% vs ~18.8%), but much stronger upside potential.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.46 | 1.07 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 588.57% | 10.73% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.61 | |
| 1,534,141.64% | 66.4% | 6.81% | 0.99% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$153,424,163.57Regulatory Fees
$283,548.99
Total Slippage
$2,011,731.63
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, rsi-based, trend following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, multi-asset, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks