What More Do You Need? (Even Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily tactical, momentum-driven strategy that rotates among a set of ETFs (stocks, bonds, oil, dollar, and leveraged/inverse tech) using RSI momentum and a simple trend filter to decide which single asset to hold (or cash) each day.
Daily, the system checks short-term momentum signals (RSI over 10- or 20-day windows) on references like QQQ, SPY, and others. If tech momentum is extremely strong (RSI > 80 on QQQ), it shifts to bonds (TLT). If tech momentum is very weak (RSI < 30 on ROM or related checks), it may tilt into leveraged tech (ROM, QLD) or keep risk-lite assets. A separate trend filter asks whether SPY is above its 200-day average; if yes, equity-tilted or tech-tilted positions may be favored; if not, defensive assets are preferred. In some branches, the algorithm chooses the single asset to hold (or a cash-like state) based on the highest momentum signal among a small set, and in other branches uses inverse/leveraged tech assets to hedge or amplify exposure. The idea is to capture upside moves in favorable regimes while quickly reducing exposure or shifting to defensive assets when momentum deteriorates. The backtest appears to be built as a nested ladder of conditions, culminating in 100% allocation to a chosen instrument each day, with a fallback toward cash when signals are inconclusive.
Out-of-sample, this daily momentum strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted returns: OOS Sharpe ~1.65 vs SPY ~1.37, OOS annualized return ~73.7% vs ~23%, Calmar ~3.0. Accept higher drawdown (~24.8% vs ~18.8%), but far bigger upside when trends run.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.47 | 1.06 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 572.39% | 10.57% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.61 | |
| 1,661,570.64% | 66.95% | 11.36% | 13.91% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$166,167,063.76Regulatory Fees
$288,154.13
Total Slippage
$2,044,529.72
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, tactical allocation, multi-asset, trend-following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks