What More Do You Need?
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, tactical risk-on/off ETF strategy. When stocks run hot it parks ~half in the strongest defensive macro fund(s). When not, it rotates among long Treasuries, leveraged tech (bull or bear), staples, and gold/oil using RSI, VIX, and trend filters.
Step 1: Gauge if stocks are “hot” using a 0–100 speed meter (RSI) on QQQ/SPY/VTV. If hot, put ~50% into 1–2 defensive/macro funds—TMF (long Treasuries), UUP (US$), USO/DBO (oil), XLP (staples), XLV (healthcare)—picked by strongest 3‑day move; a VIXY 5‑day jump decides 1 vs 2.
Else: favor TMF in broad uptrends; buy oversold tech for a bounce (TECL); or go risk‑on (TQQQ) if bonds beat short‑tech; otherwise hold staples+gold/oil above the 200‑day, or short tech (SQQQ/TECS) below it. Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy outperforms the S&P on risk-adjusted terms: oos Sharpe 1.42 vs 0.87; Calmar ~3; oos annualized return ~112% vs 16.5%. It uses adaptive risk-on/off hedges to shift into defense when markets heat up, preserving upside.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 20, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum, trend-following, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, macro rotation, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks