What is overfit? 0.0.0.1
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
If short‑term market heat is extreme, jump into UVXY (a volatility spike fund). Otherwise ride the Nasdaq‑100 trend, often with leverage (TQQQ/QLD), backing off after big daily pops or briefly moving to T‑bills. Very aggressive and volatile.
It’s an all‑in, one‑ETF‑at‑a‑time system.
- If many major market/sector funds look “too hot” over ~2 weeks (measured by a speedometer called RSI), it buys UVXY, a fund that jumps when markets fall.
- Otherwise it rides the Nasdaq‑100: owns QQQ or 2x/3x versions (QLD/TQQQ) when trends are up, or cash‑like T‑bills (BIL) after big pops. Very aggressive/volatile.
Out-of-sample upside is compelling: ~120% annualized return vs ~17% SPY; Sharpe ~1.50 vs ~0.98; Calmar ~2.32. Max drawdown ~52% vs ~19% SPY. Nasdaq-heavy, levered exposure with volatility hedge—higher upside, higher risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | 2.07 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511.42% | 13.89% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 51,160,206.44% | 157.17% | -0.39% | 11.58% | 1.83 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,116,030,643.50Regulatory Fees
$7,007,189.94
Total Slippage
$50,383,786.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility spike hedge, leveraged trend-following, momentum/rsi triggers, nasdaq 100 focus
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks