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What is overfit? 0.0.0.1
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A high-risk, all-or-nothing rule: if any major market proxy’s 10-day RSI climbs above 79, move 100% into UVXY; otherwise stay in cash. It uses a long chain of momentum tests across several tickers, plus guardrails, to time volatility rather than diversify across assets.
NutHow it works
- Start with 100% cash by default. - For each of several market proxies (QQQE, VTV, VOX, TECL, VOOG, VOOV, XLP, QQQ, SPY-related, etc.), compute a 10-day RSI. - If RSI on any proxy is greater than 79, immediately allocate 100% to UVXY (the volatility ETF). - If that RSI condition isn’t met for any proxy, stay in cash. - There are additional nested checks that reference conditions on QQQ and TQQQ and moving averages, but the practical effect is to avoid/modify exposure when those extra signals aren’t favorable. - Rebalancing is set to none; changes occur only when a signal fires (or doesn’t). - The strategy uses UVXY as the sole trigger asset to capture spikes in volatility; otherwise it keeps money in cash (no broad stock exposure). - Because UVXY is a futures-based volatility product, this approach is intended for very short horizons and can suffer from decay if held too long.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~120% annualized return, Sharpe 1.50, Calmar 2.32, max drawdown 52%. Default cash, 100% UVXY on extreme momentum signals. Higher upside vs SPY with stronger risk-adjusted performance, albeit bigger drawdowns.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility, momentum, rule-based, quantitative, high-risk, single-asset-uvxy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"What is overfit? 0.0.0.1" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"What is overfit? 0.0.0.1" is currently allocated toTQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "What is overfit? 0.0.0.1" has returned 113.39%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "What is overfit? 0.0.0.1" is 51.85%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "What is overfit? 0.0.0.1", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.