What is overfit? 0.0.0.1
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
If short‑term market heat is extreme, jump into UVXY (a volatility spike fund). Otherwise ride the Nasdaq‑100 trend, often with leverage (TQQQ/QLD), backing off after big daily pops or briefly moving to T‑bills. Very aggressive and volatile.
It’s an all‑in, one‑ETF‑at‑a‑time system.
- If many major market/sector funds look “too hot” over ~2 weeks (measured by a speedometer called RSI), it buys UVXY, a fund that jumps when markets fall.
- Otherwise it rides the Nasdaq‑100: owns QQQ or 2x/3x versions (QLD/TQQQ) when trends are up, or cash‑like T‑bills (BIL) after big pops. Very aggressive/volatile.
Out-of-sample upside is dramatic: about 120% annualized vs ~17% for the S&P, with Calmar ~2.32 and Sharpe ~1.50. Nasdaq-leaning with volatility hedge offers strong risk-adjusted returns for a tolerant investor - watch for larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 2.07 | 0.32 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 549.06% | 14.29% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.88 | |
| 54,907,892.62% | 156.96% | 7.33% | -2.11% | 1.83 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,490,799,262.46Regulatory Fees
$7,808,605.49
Total Slippage
$56,148,348.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility spike hedge, leveraged trend-following, momentum/rsi triggers, nasdaq 100 focus
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks