What is overfit? 0.0.0.1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
If the market looks “too hot,” it flips to UVXY (aims to pop when stocks fall). Otherwise it rides the Nasdaq (QQQ): 3× (TQQQ) in uptrends, 2× (QLD) or T‑Bills (BIL) in downtrends after big up days. A tactical, very aggressive approach.
Watches a 10‑day “hotness” score (RSI: 0–100; >80 = very hot) for many stock funds across the market (SPY, tech, value/growth, consumer, comms, financials). If any look too hot, it buys UVXY—a fund that often jumps when stocks drop. Otherwise it rides QQQ’s trend: if QQQ is above its 200‑day average (≈10 months), hold QQQ or 3× QQQ (TQQQ); if below, hold 2× QQQ (QLD) or T‑Bills (BIL) after unusually big up days.
Leverages Nasdaq trends with a built-in UVXY hedge. When overheated, switch to long volatility; otherwise ride QQQ with leverage. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.50 vs S&P ~0.98; Calmar ~2.32—strong upside, but bear markets can show larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | 2.06 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524.49% | 14.11% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.87 | |
| 53,391,033.73% | 158.59% | 6.02% | 3.63% | 1.84 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,339,113,372.80Regulatory Fees
$7,007,189.94
Total Slippage
$50,383,786.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Market timing, rsi overbought trigger, long volatility hedge, trend following, nasdaq-focused, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks