What is overfit? 0.0.0.1
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
If short‑term market heat is extreme, jump into UVXY (a volatility spike fund). Otherwise ride the Nasdaq‑100 trend, often with leverage (TQQQ/QLD), backing off after big daily pops or briefly moving to T‑bills. Very aggressive and volatile.
It’s an all‑in, one‑ETF‑at‑a‑time system.
- If many major market/sector funds look “too hot” over ~2 weeks (measured by a speedometer called RSI), it buys UVXY, a fund that jumps when markets fall.
- Otherwise it rides the Nasdaq‑100: owns QQQ or 2x/3x versions (QLD/TQQQ) when trends are up, or cash‑like T‑bills (BIL) after big pops. Very aggressive/volatile.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.53 vs SPY 1.08; Calmar 2.37; alpha 0.63; annualized return ~123% vs SPY ~18%. Nasdaq-100 trend with a volatility hedge offers superior upside per unit risk, albeit with larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 2.08 | 0.32 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.39% | 14.64% | 2.46% | 6.63% | 0.9 | |
| 65,660,510.32% | 155.13% | 2.58% | 22.3% | 1.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,566,061,032.30Regulatory Fees
$7,963,723.62
Total Slippage
$76,881,157.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility spike hedge, leveraged trend-following, momentum/rsi triggers, nasdaq 100 focus
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks