What is overfit? 0.0.0.1
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive market-timing strategy: it usually bets heavily on Nasdaq/tech, but if many market areas look overheated, it jumps into UVXY, a high-risk volatility product that can rise during market stress.
This strategy is usually a very aggressive bet on the Nasdaq, especially big tech, using funds that can magnify gains and losses.
Before buying, it checks whether several parts of the market look too hot after a fast run-up. If they do, it switches into UVXY, a product that tends to jump when market fear rises.
If markets are not overheated, it looks at whether QQQ is above its 200-day average. If yes, it usually buys TQQQ; if not, it usually buys QLD, and occasionally parks in BIL (T-bills).
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers ~111% annualized return with strong risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~2.14, Sharpe ~1.46), aiming for Nasdaq-led upside that far surpasses the S&P, with a disciplined UVXY hedge for stress scenarios.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | 2.09 | 0.32 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.17% | 14.46% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.9 | |
| 66,762,393.05% | 151.91% | -5.91% | 4.28% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,676,249,305.21Regulatory Fees
$8,516,174.15
Total Slippage
$82,204,333.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, overbought filter, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, nasdaq-focused
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks