What Have I Done. CQ Degen Version 12.29.23
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
When Bitcoin’s trend (via BITO) is strong, put 30% into the hottest crypto stock/ETF (Coinbase, miners, MicroStrategy, or Bitcoin ETFs) based on 3‑day momentum; otherwise sit in T‑bills (BIL). Rebalances daily; risk-on/risk-off by trend filters.
Each day it checks if Bitcoin (using BITO, a Bitcoin‑futures ETF) is strongly trending up: 1) today > its 20‑day average, 2) 20‑day average > 50‑day, 3) 100‑day > 300‑day. A moving average is just the smoothed price over that many days.
If all pass, it puts 30% into the single best performer over the last 3 days from a crypto list (Coinbase, miners like RIOT/MARA, MicroStrategy, Bitcoin ETFs). Otherwise it holds T‑bills (BIL). Rebalanced daily.
Disciplined crypto-timing with a cash hedge: when BTC trends, 30% to the top short-term crypto proxy and the rest to BIL; else stay in cash. Out-of-sample: ~19.6%/yr, ~0.62 Sharpe, beta near 1—diversify beyond the S&P 500 with crypto upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | 0.96 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.97% | 20.76% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.32 | |
| 1,960.25% | 157.21% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$206,025.27Regulatory Fees
$995.76
Total Slippage
$5,253.65
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto, trend-following, momentum, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, concentrated, t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BITQ
Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF
Stocks
BITS
Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF
Stocks
BTF
Valkyrie ETF Trust II CoinShares Bitcoin and Ether ETF
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
IBLC
iShares Blockchain and Tech ETF
Stocks
IREN
IREN Limited Ordinary Shares
Stocks