What Have I Done. CQ Degen Version 12.29.23
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based strategy that bets on a Bitcoin/crypto uptrend: if BITO shows short-term strength, allocate 30% to the single top crypto-related asset from a curated list (based on 3-day momentum); the rest stays in cash (BIL). If signals weaken, move to cash entirely. Rebalances daily.
- Every day, check BITO (Bitcoin Strategy ETF) against its short-term trend. If BITO is above its 20-day moving average (a rough measure of short-term strength), proceed to the crypto-exposure step. If not, stay in cash (BIL).
- If signal is positive, look at the curated crypto list (COIN, RIOT, MARA, MSTR, plus several crypto ETFs and miners).
- From that list, evaluate the last 3 days of performance and pick the single asset with the strongest momentum (the top by 3-day moving-return).
- Allocate 30% of the total portfolio to that single asset. The remaining 70% is placed in cash-like holdings (BIL, a short-term U.S. Treasuries ETF).
- The rules are re-applied every trading day, so the top asset and the cash vs crypto mix can change as signals change.
- If the initial BITO-based checks fail, the strategy routes entirely to cash (BIL) or to other predefined cash equivalents according to the nested conditions.
- Assets included under HODL BTC cover direct crypto exposure (COIN, MARA, RIOT, etc.), miners, and crypto ETFs (BITQ, BITS, BITO, BTF, BITF, IBLC, MAXI, IREN).
- This is a speculative, high-risk approach: it’s not diversified, relies on short-term momentum, and aims to exploit a bullish phase in crypto with a risk-controlled cash buffer.
- Practical note: Tickers represent a mix of direct crypto exposure (coins/miners), fund- or ETF-based crypto bets, and a cash proxy (BIL). Always verify ticker definitions and ensure you understand what each asset owns before using in real money.
- Example scenario: If BITO is above its 20-day MA and the 3-day momentum favors COIN, the system places 30% of the portfolio into COIN and keeps 70% in BIL. If BITO weakens and fails the signals, you shift towards 100% BIL according to the nested rules.
Crypto-momentum strategy with a cash hedge: 30% to the top crypto on bullish signals, 70% to cash; otherwise fully in cash. Out-of-sample: ~19.6% annualized return, ~0.62 Sharpe, higher drawdowns than the S&P—diversifies with crypto exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | 0.96 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.97% | 20.76% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.32 | |
| 1,960.25% | 157.21% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$206,025.27Regulatory Fees
$995.76
Total Slippage
$5,253.65
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto, etfs, momentum, daily rebalance, rule-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BITQ
Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF
Stocks
BITS
Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF
Stocks
BTF
Valkyrie ETF Trust II CoinShares Bitcoin and Ether ETF
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
IBLC
iShares Blockchain and Tech ETF
Stocks
IREN
IREN Limited Ordinary Shares
Stocks